Sunday, December 16, 2012

if there is no intelligent mobile phones and tablet PC, PC market?

In fact the author has been think, if there is no intelligent mobile phones and tablet PC, PC market? It is because of smart phones and tablet computer the rapid growth, make the industry and the market to appear the illusion, that's PC market also should be not less than their growth rate to growth. Actually otherwise, the same to see Mary, John obi mikel, according to the chart, in 2005-2007, at that time not yet have apple iPhone and iPad, PC shipments growth is slow growth, at least not far and today's tablet PC and smartphone growth, it is compared the characteristics of the industry, namely penetration to reach a certain degree, natural growth will slow, and smart phones and tablet computer is still in the outbreak period. The author think that again, smart phones and tablet PC for PC impact is rather limited, if remove the biggest intelligent mobile phone, tablet PC to the impact of the PC more small. Still a bit not allow to ignore, even if there is no intelligent mobile phones and tablet PC earlier years, because of the economic factors and their own innovation and so on the many kinds of factors, the PC has been slowing down, even the situation. This is the normal rules of industry development. Obviously, in Mary, John obi mikel's report, does not take into account the role of these factors.

In that case, why will the Wintel from 1998-2005, occupy 95% of the share, become today's 35%? Very simple, Mary, John obi mikel in originally do not belong to the coordinate system of the intelligent mobile phone and tablet PC added in, and her shipments and assembly into volume chart and failed to fully prove the intelligent mobile phone, tablet PC and PC is between mutual competition and replace relationship.

The author in this is not to challenge the authority of Mary, John obi mikel, but as authority figure, the report and conclusion far-reaching influence, so I should be more careful, objective and comprehensive. At least she can forecast of 2015 years, PC will growth, doesn't exist any iOS and Android "kill" Wintel say. In that case, the three will put together the meaning of comparison? At least will mislead many the personage inside course of study.

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